IAR'S OSCAR WINNER PREDICTIONS

Thursday, 19 February 2015 13:34 Written by  iamrogue
Rate this item
(1 Vote)
IAR'S OSCAR WINNER PREDICTIONS

With Oscar ballots due last night and less than a week to go until the awards are handed out on Sunday, February 22nd, it's about time to take an in-depth look at how things stand in the race for the gold.

Some categories appear to be a lock, while others may surprise us when the envelopes are opened.

Here are IAR’s Oscar Expert Brett Gursky and IAR’s Managing Editor Jami Philbrick’s Oscar Winner Predictions:


BEST PICTURE
Brett’s Prediction: Boyhood
Could be: Birdman

Jami’s Prediction: Boyhood
Could be: Birdman

Back in July, Brett predicted that Boyhood- a movie 12 years in the making- would win the Oscar for Best Picture, if only it could keep up the momentum through February. It went on to win the Golden Globe, the Critics’ Choice, and the BAFTA for Best Picture. But then Birdman won the PGA, the DGA, and the SAG ensemble. Now it looks like the Oscar could go either way, but both Brett and Jami think Boyhood will probably take home the gold when it is all said and done.


BEST DIRECTOR

Brett’s Prediction: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Could be: Alejandro Inarritu, Birdman

Jami’s Prediction: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Could be: Alejandro Inarritu, Birdman

Richard Linklater started out very strong, winning every directing award from the Golden Globes to the Critics’ Choice. But then Alejandro Inarritu took home the coveted DGA award.  While the winner of the DGA award usually goes on to win the Oscar, it is not always the case. And although Best Picture and Best Director usually match, that is not a guarantee this year. However, Brett and Jami agree that admiration for Linklater’s 12-year journey will probably give him the edge over Inarritu on Oscar night.


BEST ACTOR

Brett’s Prediction: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Could be: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Jami’s Prediction: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Could be: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Like last year, this is the most unpredictable acting category of the night. Will the groundswell of support behind Birdman help secure a first-time win for veteran actor Michael Keaton? Or will newcomer Eddie Redmayne’s performance as Stephen Hawking ultimately prevail? At the beginning of this awards season, Keaton was the overwhelming favorite, having won most of the early critic’s awards. But because Keaton was put in the Best Performance By An Actor In A Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical category at the Golden Globes, it allowed Redmayne to get a big win taking home a Golden Globe for Best Performance By An Actor In A Motion Picture – Drama. Then the “buzz” started to really go in Redmayne’s direction, beating Keaton out for both the SAG and BAFTA awards. However, in recent days that all-important “Oscar buzz” has started to swing back towards Keaton. Keep in mind that Keaton will most likely win an Independent Spirit Award for Best Male Lead the day before the Oscars, since Redmayne was not even nominated. The Independent Spirit Awards are usually a pretty good indicator of who will win an Academy Award the following day. While Redmayne’s performance is exactly what the Academy loves to reward, in the end, both Brett and Jami think that Keaton’s longer career and “comeback” storyline will give him the edge he needs to take home Oscar gold.


BEST ACTRESS

Brett’s Prediction: Julianne Moore, Still Alice

Jami’s Prediction: Julianne Moore, Still Alice

Julianne Moore has won every single Best Actress award that she has been nominated for this year- The Golden Globe, Critics’ Choice, SAG award, and BAFTA. Next up: The Oscar. Moore has been nominated four times before- For Boogie Nights, The End of the Affair, The Hours, and Far From Heaven. Now her time has finally come, as she faces off against two previous Best Actress winners- Marion Cotillard and Reese Witherspoon- and two first-time nominees- Felicity Jones and Rosamund Pike. There is no debate here - Julianne Moore will finally be known as an Academy Award-winner!


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Brett’s Prediction: JK Simmons, Whiplash

Jami’s Prediction: JK Simmons, Whiplash

Like Julianne Moore, no one can beat JK Simmons. This year’s Best Supporting Actor Oscar belongs to him. I predicted it when I first saw Whiplash at the 2014 Sundance Film Festival and he’s held onto the momentum all the way through to Oscar night. Up until now, he has won himself the Golden Globe, Critics’ Choice, SAG award, and BAFTA. Simmons will win Oscar gold, and can finally put those silly Farmer’s Insurance commercials far behind him.

To check out IAR’s exclusive interview with J.K. Simmons about Whiplash, please click here.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Brett’s Prediction: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood

Jami’s Prediction: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood

Like Julianne Moore and JK Simmons, no one can beat Patricia Arquette. This year’s Best Supporting Actress Oscar belongs to her. Brett predicted it when he first saw Boyhood in July, and since then she has taken home the Golden Globe, Critics’ Choice, SAG award, and BAFTA. An Oscar will be well deserved for her performance, which took place over the course of 12 years. Again, Brett and Jami agree that Patricia Arquette is the favorite to take home the gold.

Here are the rest of our Oscar Winner Predictions:

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Brett’s Prediction: “Glory”, Selma
Could be: “Everything Is Awesome”, The LEGO Movie

Jami’s Prediction: “Glory”, Selma

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Brett’s Prediction: How To Train Your Dragon 2
Could be: Big Hero 6

Jami’s Prediction: How To Train Your Dragon 2
Could be: Big Hero 6

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Brett’s Prediction: Citizenfour

Jami’s Prediction: Citizenfour

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Brett’s Prediction: Damien Chazelle, Whiplash
Could be: Graham Moore, The Imitation Game

Jami’s Prediction: Graham Moore, The Imitation Game
Could be: Damien Chazelle, Whiplash

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Brett’s Prediction: Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Jami’s Prediction: Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Watch the results unfold live during the 87th Annual Academy Awards on ABC this Sunday, February 22nd.


More in this category

Follow ROGUE

Latest Trailers

view more »